MX23RW : Monday, April 29 19:40:50| >> :600:5106426:5106426:
Watford logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Stoke logo

Watford
1 - 3
Stoke

Fletcher (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

The Potters are in the fourth round of the Carabao Cup for a third season in succession.

Team News

The hosts are set to make a host of changes.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Watford and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawStoke City
40.06%26.56%33.39%
Both teams to score 51.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.11%52.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5%74.5%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08%25.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.08%60.93%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.14%29.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.05%65.96%
Score Analysis
    Watford 40.05%
    Stoke City 33.39%
    Draw 26.56%
WatfordDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 7.06%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 40.05%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.74%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 9.36%
1-2 @ 7.63%
0-2 @ 5.65%
1-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 33.39%

How you voted: Watford vs Stoke

Watford
75.0%
Draw
13.8%
Stoke City
11.2%
116
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
1-2
Watford
Fletcher (83')
Collins (81')
Deeney (64' pen.), Sarr (68')
Sierralta (18'), Femenia (34')
Nov 4, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 10
Watford
3-2
Stoke
Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')
Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')
Jan 31, 2018 8pm
Stoke
0-0
Watford
Adam (21'), Bauer (35'), Biram Diouf (52'), Pieters (59')
Kabasele (18'), Holebas (47'), Doucoure (90')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Watford
0-1
Stoke

Femenia (57'), Richarlison (76'), Doucoure (87'), Deeney (90')
Fletcher (16')
Choupo-Moting (62'), Shaqiri (85'), Biram Diouf (87'), Allen (90')
Jan 3, 2017 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!