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Cardiff City logo
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 10, 2021 at 7pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Sutton United

Cardiff
3 - 2
Sutton

Watkins (44', 50'), Murphy (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wilson (4'), Rowe (90')
Milsom (21'), Eastmond (55')

The Match

Match Report

Marley Watkins scores debut double as Cardiff edge thriller against Sutton.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Cardiff City and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSutton United
44.37%25.2%30.43%
Both teams to score 55.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.86%48.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.7%70.3%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31%21.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.16%54.84%
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54%29.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54%65.46%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 44.37%
    Sutton United 30.43%
    Draw 25.2%
Cardiff CityDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 9.77%
2-1 @ 9.12%
2-0 @ 7.46%
3-1 @ 4.65%
3-0 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 44.37%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 6.39%
2-2 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 7.81%
1-2 @ 7.29%
0-2 @ 4.77%
1-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.94%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 30.43%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Sutton

Cardiff City
72.7%
Draw
13.6%
Sutton United
13.6%
66
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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