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Brighton logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 22, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Swansea logo

Brighton
2 - 0
Swansea

Connolly (33', 38')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Williams (45'), Downes (73'), Cooper (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 47.07%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSwansea City
47.07%26.3%26.62%
Both teams to score 49.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.35%54.65%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.01%75.98%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.79%23.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.89%57.1%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25%35.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48%72.51%
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 47.07%
    Swansea City 26.62%
    Draw 26.3%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 12.11%
2-1 @ 9.11%
2-0 @ 8.85%
3-1 @ 4.43%
3-0 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 1.62%
4-0 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 47.07%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 8.29%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 8.53%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.39%
1-3 @ 2.2%
2-3 @ 1.61%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 26.62%

How you voted: Brighton vs Swansea

Brighton & Hove Albion
77.9%
Draw
12.1%
Swansea City
10.0%
140
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Brighton
4-1
Swansea
Murray (18' pen., 69'), Knockaert (73'), Locadia (90')
Murray (63')
Dunk (85' og.)
Nov 4, 2017 3pm
May 3, 2008 3pm
Sep 29, 2007 3pm
Swansea
0-0
Brighton
Orlandi (75'), Anderson (83')
O'Callaghan (13'), Revell (80')
Apr 21, 2007 3pm
Swansea
2-1
Brighton
Duffy (21', 41')
Gueret (50')
Revell (14')
Mayo (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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