Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt
MVV2 - 1Jong Ajax
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between MVV Maastricht and Jong Ajax.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dordrecht 2-2 MVV
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Cambuur 4-2 Jong Ajax
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Friday, August 25 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 50.48%. A win for Jong Ajax had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.41%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Jong Ajax win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for MVV Maastricht in this match.
Result | ||
MVV Maastricht | Draw | Jong Ajax |
50.48% ( 0.12) | 21.67% ( -0.01) | 27.85% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 66% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.77% ( -0.03) | 33.22% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.02% ( -0.03) | 54.98% ( 0.03) |
MVV Maastricht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.41% ( 0.03) | 13.58% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.3% ( 0.06) | 40.7% ( -0.06) |
Jong Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.38% ( -0.09) | 23.62% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.29% ( -0.12) | 57.71% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
MVV Maastricht 50.48%
Jong Ajax 27.85%
Draw 21.67%
MVV Maastricht | Draw | Jong Ajax |
2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 3.95% Total : 50.48% | 1-1 @ 9.24% 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.21% ( 0) 3-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.43% Total : 21.67% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.88% Total : 27.85% |
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2023 7pm
Sep 16, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 7
MVV
4-1
Jong Ajax
Remans (10'), Blummel (28'), Kostons (68'), Van Bommel (85')
Misehouy (53')
Apr 29, 2022 7pm
Sep 27, 2021 7pm
Mar 19, 2021 7pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-01 19:09:34
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Willem II | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 79 |
2 | Groningen | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 71 | 30 | 41 | 75 |
3 | Roda JC | 38 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 69 | 34 | 35 | 75 |
4 | Dordrecht | 38 | 18 | 15 | 5 | 74 | 51 | 23 | 69 |
5 | ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag | 38 | 17 | 12 | 9 | 72 | 50 | 22 | 63 |
6 | De GraafschapDe Graafschap | 38 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 61 | 52 | 9 | 63 |
7 | EmmenEmmen | 38 | 17 | 6 | 15 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 57 |
8 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 56 |
9 | MVV MaastrichtMVV | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 56 |
10 | Jong AZJong AZ | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 56 |
11 | Helmond SportHelmond | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 51 |
12 | VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 48 |
13 | Cambuur | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 71 | 74 | -3 | 47 |
14 | FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 43 |
15 | Jong AjaxJong Ajax | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 54 | 69 | -15 | 40 |
16 | Jong PSVJong PSV | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 63 | 81 | -18 | 40 |
17 | TelstarTelstar | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 47 | 68 | -21 | 35 |
18 | TOP OssOss | 38 | 10 | 4 | 24 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 34 |
19 | Den BoschDen Bosch | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 68 | -30 | 33 |
20 | Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht | 38 | 5 | 11 | 22 | 32 | 74 | -42 | 26 |
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