Defensa

2 - 1

Olimpia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Olimpia had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Olimpia win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Defensa y Justicia would win this match.