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Copa Libertadores
Corinthians
Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 3, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Neo Química Arena (São Paulo, São Paulo)
Flamengo

Corinthians
0 - 2
Flamengo


Cantillo (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)
De Arrascaeta (37'), Barbosa (51')
Maia (12'), Rodinei (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Corinthians and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Corinthians

Last Six:
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Botafogo
Saturday, July 30 at 11pm in Brasileiro

Flamengo

Last Six:
Last Game: Flamengo 4-1 Atletico GO
Sunday, July 31 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

We said: Corinthians 1-2 Flamengo

 Tuesday's game sees two domestic rivals who are quite familiar with each other lock horns and this makes for an entertaining and exciting watch. While Corinthians and Flamengo both head into Tuesday in solid form, we are backing the visitors to do just enough to leave with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Corinthians had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Corinthians win was 1-0 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
CorinthiansDrawFlamengo
30.1% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 26.16% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 43.74% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.98% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.71% (0.1 0.1)52.29% (-0.1 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.01% (0.085999999999999 0.09)73.99% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.19% (0.063000000000002 0.06)31.81% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.76% (0.074000000000002 0.07)68.24% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.23% (0.046999999999997 0.05)23.77% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.07% (0.068000000000005 0.07)57.93% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Corinthians 30.1%
    Flamengo 43.73%
    Draw 26.16%
CorinthiansDrawFlamengo
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.72% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.89% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 30.1%
1-1 @ 12.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.56% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 10.86% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.94% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-2 @ 7.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.28% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.34% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 43.73%

How you voted: Corinthians vs Flamengo

Corinthians
16.3%
Draw
20.4%
Flamengo
63.3%
49
Head to Head
Jul 10, 2022 8pm
Corinthians
1-0
Flamengo
Rodinei (52' og.)
Ramos (35'), Giovane (81')
Gustavo (36')

Bruno (16'), Gomes (75'), Pedro (90+3'), Barbosa (90+7')
Nov 18, 2021 12.30am
Flamengo
1-0
Corinthians
Henrique (90+4')
Gabriel (40')

Pereira (23'), Victor (40')
Aug 1, 2021 8pm
Corinthians
1-3
Flamengo
Vitinho (89')
Roni (42')
Ribeiro (7'), Henrique (40'), Henrique (45')
De Arrascaeta (70')
Feb 14, 2021 7pm
Flamengo
2-1
Corinthians
Arao (10'), Barbosa (55')
Luis (83')
Natel (20')
Santos (29'), Ramiro (37'), Fagner (41'), Gil (54'), Roni (90+5')
Oct 18, 2020 8pm
Corinthians
1-5
Flamengo
Gil (64')
Xavier (41'), Camacho (45'), Otero (48'), Vieira (90+2')
Ribeiro (32'), Vitinho (52'), Bernardo de Souza (58'), Henrique (71'), Diego (86')
Bernardo de Souza (42'), Henrique (45+1'), Maia (63'), Luis (77'), Gerson (90+2')
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