MX23RW : Tuesday, May 21 00:47:50| >> :60:2513:2513:
Flamengo
Copa do Brasil | Final | 1st Leg
Sep 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Sao Paulo

Flamengo
0 - 1
Sao Paulo


Pereira (14'), Hugo (36')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Calleri (45+1')
Alisson (38')
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Final clash between Flamengo and Sao Paulo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flamengo 0-3 Athletico PR
Thursday, September 14 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Internacional 2-1 Sao Paulo
Thursday, September 14 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 51.45%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 24.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Sao Paulo win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
FlamengoDrawSao Paulo
51.45% (0.554 0.55) 24.42% (-0.293 -0.29) 24.13% (-0.265 -0.26)
Both teams to score 52.74% (0.629 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.93% (0.966 0.97)49.06% (-0.97 -0.97)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.85% (0.866 0.87)71.14% (-0.871 -0.87)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.94% (0.599 0.6)19.06% (-0.601 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.34% (0.982 0.98)50.65% (-0.986 -0.99)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.16% (0.295 0.3)34.83% (-0.299 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.43% (0.31 0.31)71.57% (-0.31399999999999 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 51.44%
    Sao Paulo 24.13%
    Draw 24.41%
FlamengoDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 11% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 9.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.32% (0.133 0.13)
3-0 @ 5.04% (0.085 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.092 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.2% (0.095 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.09% (0.074 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 51.44%
1-1 @ 11.6% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.64% (-0.268 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.073 0.07)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 7% (-0.224 -0.22)
1-2 @ 6.12% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.69% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.15% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 24.13%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 19
Flamengo
1-1
Sao Paulo
Pedro (90+6' pen.)
Wesley (24'), Gerson (90+9')
Moura (38')
Juan (29'), Welington (77'), Jandrei (82'), Junior (85+85'), Nestor (90+1'), Franco (90+5'), Rato (90+11')
Sep 15, 2022 1.45am
Aug 25, 2022 1.30am
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Sao Paulo
1-3
Flamengo
Nestor (79')
Gomes (13'), Barbosa (68'), Everton (90+4')
Everton (90+4')
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 21
Sao Paulo
0-2
Flamengo
Lazaro (7'), Barbosa (90+5')
Apr 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
Flamengo
3-1
Sao Paulo
Barbosa (25'), Isla (69'), De Arrascaeta (72')
Barbosa (17'), Gomes (45')
Calleri (41')
Rafinha (17'), Maia (24'), Diego (36'), Anderson (76'), Reinaldo (80'), Pele (90+1')
rhs 2.0
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