MX23RW : Wednesday, May 22 00:20:03| >> :600:1964812:1964812:
Philadelphia Union
CONCACAF Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 27, 2023 at 2am UK
Subaru Park
Los Angeles FC

Philadelphia
1 - 1
Los Angeles

Gazdag (86' pen.)
Andres Martinez (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Acosta (90+1')
Acosta (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's CONCACAF Champions League clash between Philadelphia Union and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Philadelphia Union

All competitions
Last Game: Philadelphia 4-2 Toronto
Sunday, April 23 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Los Angeles FC

All competitions
Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, April 23 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Philadelphia Union 1-0 Los Angeles FC

 If there is a team that can slow down the balanced LA attack, Philly might be the best bet, and they seem to be peaking at the right time, while showing lots of attacking quality at the moment. Just like in that epic MLS Cup final a year ago, this tie could go down to the wire, but home field and momentum may favour the Union in the opening leg, a team that have faced much stiffer challenges in the CCL this season when compared to the Black and Gold. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Philadelphia UnionDrawLos Angeles FC
41.07% (0.188 0.19) 25.33% (0.126 0.13) 33.6% (-0.313 -0.31)
Both teams to score 56.08% (-0.52 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39% (-0.638 -0.64)47.61% (0.636 0.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19% (-0.592 -0.59)69.81% (0.592 0.59)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.97% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)23.03% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.15% (-0.27399999999999 -0.27)56.85% (0.274 0.27)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.86% (-0.497 -0.5)27.14% (0.497 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.46% (-0.654 -0.65)62.54% (0.653 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Philadelphia Union 41.07%
    Los Angeles FC 33.6%
    Draw 25.33%
Philadelphia UnionDrawLos Angeles FC
1-0 @ 9.18% (0.191 0.19)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.74% (0.105 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.3% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.21% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 41.07%
1-1 @ 11.97% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.164 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.73% (-0.071999999999999 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.15% (0.102 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.39% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.067 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.11% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 33.6%

How you voted: Philadelphia vs Los Angeles

Philadelphia Union
60.0%
Draw
5.0%
Los Angeles FC
35.0%
20
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 8pm
Los Angeles
3-3
Philadelphia
 Los Angeles win 3-0 on penalties
Acosta (27'), Murillo (83'), Bale (120+8')
Cifuentes (65')
Gazdag (59'), Elliott (85', 120+4')
May 8, 2022 4am
Los Angeles
2-2
Philadelphia
Opoku (56'), Escobar (82')
Palacios (76')
Gazdag (9'), Carranza (67')
Santos (83'), Elliott (90+4')
Mar 9, 2020 2.30am
gameweek 4
Los Angeles
3-3
Philadelphia
Vela (38'), Rossi (49'), Segura (71')
Palacios (45+2')
Santos (29'), Glesnes (48'), Aaronson (69')
Gaddis (33'), Andres Martinez (43'), Bedoya (45+4'), Fontana (90+6')
Sep 15, 2019 12.30am
gameweek 36
Philadelphia
1-1
Los Angeles
Przybylko (3')
Vela (43')
Kaye (65'), Blessing (78'), Harvey (88'), Zimmerman (89')
Jul 1, 2018 1am
gameweek 20
Los Angeles
4-1
Philadelphia
Diomande (25', 43', 55'), Blessing (96')
Beitashour (39'), Nguyen (85')
Picault (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!