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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 7
Jun 30, 2022 at 10.30am UK
Jinzhou Stadium
Wuhan Three Towns

Guangzhou
1 - 2
Wuhan TT

Yan (21' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
Stanciu (23'), Pengfei (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Chinese Super League clash between Guangzhou and Wuhan Three Towns, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sh. Shenhua 2-1 Guangzhou
Sunday, June 26 at 10.30am in Chinese Super League
Last Game: Wuhan Three Towns 5-0 Hebei
Sunday, June 26 at 8.30am in Chinese Super League

We said: Guangzhou 0-4 Wuhan Three Towns

Wuhan look unstoppable at the moment, and Guangzhou are the latest team to try to prevent the juggernaut from rolling on. We are backing the away side to cruise to a comfortable win, scoring plenty of goals en route. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Guangzhou had a probability of 11.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Guangzhou win it was 1-0 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wuhan Three Towns would win this match.

Result
GuangzhouDrawWuhan Three Towns
11.26% (1.103 1.1) 17.94% (0.66 0.66) 70.8% (-1.76 -1.76)
Both teams to score 47.5% (1.729 1.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.42% (0.151 0.15)42.58% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.02% (0.15 0.15)64.98% (-0.14700000000001 -0.15)
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.23% (2.174 2.17)46.76% (-2.173 -2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.69% (1.607 1.61)82.31% (-1.603 -1.6)
Wuhan Three Towns Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.23% (-0.408 -0.41)10.77% (0.411 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.23% (-0.92 -0.92)34.77% (0.923 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Guangzhou 11.26%
    Wuhan Three Towns 70.79%
    Draw 17.94%
GuangzhouDrawWuhan Three Towns
1-0 @ 3.83% (0.205 0.21)
2-1 @ 3.24% (0.307 0.31)
2-0 @ 1.46% (0.161 0.16)
3-2 @ 0.92% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 11.26%
1-1 @ 8.53% (0.316 0.32)
0-0 @ 5.04% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.61% (0.285 0.29)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 17.94%
0-2 @ 12.5% (-0.53 -0.53)
0-1 @ 11.22% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-2 @ 9.5% (0.192 0.19)
0-3 @ 9.29% (-0.559 -0.56)
1-3 @ 7.06% (0.023 0.02)
0-4 @ 5.18% (-0.407 -0.41)
1-4 @ 3.93% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.168 0.17)
0-5 @ 2.31% (-0.224 -0.22)
1-5 @ 1.75% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.5% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 70.79%

How you voted: Guangzhou vs Wuhan Three Towns

Guangzhou
26.3%
Draw
15.8%
Wuhan Three Towns
57.9%
19
Head to Head
Jun 7, 2022 8.30am
Wuhan Three Towns
6-0
Guangzhou
Stanciu (11', 76'), Davidson (29'), Pengfei (58'), Xiaobin (65'), Marcao (84')

Hou (10'), Wu (37'), Fan (40'), Asqer (90+1')
Wu (74')
rhs 2.0
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