Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 58.53%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Dalian Yifang had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Dalian Yifang win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou Evergrande would win this match.
