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Championship | Gameweek 37
Mar 8, 2024 at 8pm UK
Hillsborough Stadium
Leeds logo

Sheff Weds
0 - 2
Leeds


Rohl (45'), Famewo (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bamford (45+5'), Gnonto (58')
Ampadu (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-0 Plymouth
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Stoke
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Leeds United

Leeds United boast more quality throughout their ranks and have enjoyed the far stronger Championship season, but they are bound to face a tough test at Hillsborough on Friday against a resurgent Sheffield Wednesday side. With both sides desperate for three points and full of confidence, and with the added stakes of a derby fixture, we predict a cagey encounter ending level in Sheffield. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Sheffield WednesdayDrawLeeds United
25.38% (0.264 0.26) 23.66% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 50.96% (-0.279 -0.28)
Both teams to score 56.54% (0.217 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.33% (0.161 0.16)44.67% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.96% (0.155 0.16)67.04% (-0.151 -0.15)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.6% (0.30099999999999 0.3)31.4% (-0.297 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.22% (0.345 0.34)67.77% (-0.342 -0.34)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.42% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)17.58% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.86% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)48.14% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sheffield Wednesday 25.38%
    Leeds United 50.96%
    Draw 23.65%
Sheffield WednesdayDrawLeeds United
2-1 @ 6.44% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 6.39% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.7% (0.035 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.49% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.16% (0.031 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 25.38%
1-1 @ 11.11%
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.52% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.65%
1-2 @ 9.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 9.6% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 8.34% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.6% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.83% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.24% (0.017 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.43% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.1% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.41% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 50.96%

How you voted: Sheff Weds vs Leeds

Sheffield Wednesday
24.5%
Draw
16.6%
Leeds United
58.9%
151
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Leeds
0-0
Sheff Weds
Rutter (79')
Delgado (35'), Windass (61')
Jan 11, 2020 3pm
Oct 26, 2019 12.30pm
Apr 13, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 42
Leeds
1-0
Sheff Weds
Harrison (65')
Harrison (16'), Phillips (45')

Lees (6'), Hutchinson (47')
Sep 28, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Sheff Weds
1-1
Leeds
Reach (45')
Penney (33'), Bannan (72')
Klich (54')
Klich (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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