Even though they experienced contrasting fortunes at the weekend, both teams will feel encouraged by their respective performances. Nevertheless, we can only back the Hatters for this contest, the visitors potentially prevailing by the odd goal in three.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 50.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Reading had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
