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Championship | Gameweek 7
Oct 23, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
The City Ground
Derby logo

Nott'm Forest
1 - 1
Derby

Taylor (64')
Christie (18'), Arter (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Waghorn (30')

The Match

Match Report

Martyn Waghorn's brilliant first-half opener had given the Rams the upper hand.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Derby County, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawDerby County
44.53%26.35%29.12%
Both teams to score 50.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.54%53.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.02%74.98%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1%23.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.9%58.1%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87%33.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.27%69.73%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 44.53%
    Derby County 29.12%
    Draw 26.34%
Nottingham ForestDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 11.33%
2-1 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 8.11%
3-1 @ 4.28%
3-0 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 44.53%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.92%
2-2 @ 4.95%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.34%
0-1 @ 8.75%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 4.83%
1-3 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 29.12%

Head to Head
Jul 4, 2020 12.30pm
Nov 9, 2019 12.30pm
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Nott'm Forest
3-0
Derby
Adomah (25'), Lolley (35'), Carvalho (79')

Buchanan (28'), Paterson (49'), Shinnie (79')
Feb 25, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Nott'm Forest
1-0
Derby
Benalouane (2')
Yates (29'), Colback (82')

Wilson (26'), Holmes (29'), Tomori (95')
Dec 17, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Derby
0-0
Nott'm Forest
Bryson (29'), Bogle (45'), Huddlestone (68')
Hefele (33'), Osborn (55'), Colback (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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