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Championship | Gameweek 5
Aug 19, 2022 at 8pm UK
Carrow Road
Millwall logo

Norwich
2 - 0
Millwall

Sargent (50', 75')
Gibbs (84'), Krul (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Saville (19'), Honeyman (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Norwich City 1-1 Millwall

Tuesday's win could trigger a hot run of form for Norwich, and they have the quality to hurt any side in the league, but we anticipate a tough test against a resilient Millwall outfit. Rowett's men have shown their steel so far this season and could do enough to leave Carrow Road with a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawMillwall
45.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 26.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 28.4% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.84% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.39% (0.023000000000003 0.02)54.61% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.05% (0.018999999999998 0.02)75.95% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)24.15% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)58.47% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.71% (0.021000000000001 0.02)34.29% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.01% (0.021000000000001 0.02)70.99% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 45.04%
    Millwall 28.4%
    Draw 26.55%
Norwich CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.36% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.41%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 45.04%
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 8.28% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.55%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 6.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 28.4%

How you voted: Norwich vs Millwall

Norwich City
65.3%
Draw
22.9%
Millwall
11.8%
170
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2021 6pm
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Norwich
4-3
Millwall
Pukki (49', 90'), Leitner (79'), Rhodes (90')
Leitner (66'), Buendia (86')
Elliott (24'), Leonard (81'), Wallace (83')
Wallace (37'), Hutchinson (51'), Elliott (69'), McLaughlin (90'), Amos (90')
Jan 1, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester453141089395097
2Ipswich TownIpswich452712690573393
3Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4517131569571264
10Preston North EndPreston45189185664-863
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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