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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
Result | ||
Barnsley | Draw | Middlesbrough |
41.21% | 28.1% | 30.68% |
Both teams to score 46.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.61% | 59.39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.22% | 79.77% |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.66% | 28.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.93% | 64.07% |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.9% | 35.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.15% | 71.84% |
Score Analysis |
Barnsley | Draw | Middlesbrough |
1-0 @ 12.54% 2-1 @ 8.28% 2-0 @ 7.91% 3-1 @ 3.48% 3-0 @ 3.32% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.72% Total : 41.21% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.95% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.1% | 0-1 @ 10.41% 1-2 @ 6.88% 0-2 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.13% Total : 30.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 45 | 31 | 4 | 10 | 89 | 39 | 50 | 97 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 45 | 27 | 9 | 9 | 80 | 41 | 39 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 88 | 56 | 32 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 45 | 25 | 9 | 11 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 84 |
5 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 79 | 63 | 16 | 73 |
6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 20 | 12 | 13 | 67 | 47 | 20 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 59 | 9 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 68 | 61 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 44 | 17 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 55 | 13 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 19 | 5 | 21 | 51 | 65 | -14 | 62 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 15 | 12 | 18 | 59 | 64 | -5 | 57 |
14 | Watford | 45 | 13 | 17 | 15 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 56 |
15 | Sunderland | 45 | 16 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Millwall | 45 | 15 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 56 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 53 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 45 | 60 | -15 | 53 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 50 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 45 | 14 | 8 | 23 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 50 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 45 | 12 | 12 | 21 | 58 | 70 | -12 | 48 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 12 | 11 | 22 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 47 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 9 | 18 | 18 | 48 | 75 | -27 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 4 | 12 | 29 | 32 | 87 | -55 | 24 |
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