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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
Result | ||
VfL Bochum | Draw | Mainz 05 |
47.43% | 22.79% | 29.77% |
Both teams to score 63.31% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.63% | 37.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.41% | 59.58% |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.86% | 16.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.42% | 45.57% |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.49% | 24.51% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.03% | 58.97% |
Score Analysis |
VfL Bochum | Draw | Mainz 05 |
2-1 @ 9.25% 1-0 @ 7.22% 2-0 @ 6.58% 3-1 @ 5.63% 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 3.96% 4-1 @ 2.57% 4-0 @ 1.82% 4-2 @ 1.8% 5-1 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.43% | 1-1 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 6.51% 0-0 @ 3.96% 3-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.78% | 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-1 @ 5.56% 0-2 @ 3.91% 1-3 @ 3.34% 2-3 @ 3.05% 0-3 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 1.18% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.7% Total : 29.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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