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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 51.8%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 25.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | FC Koln |
51.8% | 22.39% | 25.81% |
Both teams to score 61.38% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.54% | 38.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.24% | 60.76% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.99% | 15.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.52% | 43.48% |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.23% | 27.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.65% | 63.35% |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 9.6% 1-0 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 7.5% 3-1 @ 6.07% 3-0 @ 4.74% 3-2 @ 3.89% 4-1 @ 2.88% 4-0 @ 2.25% 4-2 @ 1.84% 5-1 @ 1.09% Other @ 4.04% Total : 51.8% | 1-1 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 4.17% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.38% | 1-2 @ 6.49% 0-1 @ 5.34% 0-2 @ 3.42% 1-3 @ 2.77% 2-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.7% Total : 25.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
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