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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
42.43% | 25.29% | 32.28% |
Both teams to score 55.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.21% | 47.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.02% | 69.98% |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.55% | 22.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.01% | 55.99% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.94% | 28.06% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.28% | 63.72% |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 9.41% 2-1 @ 8.93% 2-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 4.45% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 2.83% 4-1 @ 1.66% 4-0 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.26% Total : 42.43% | 1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.3% 2-2 @ 5.68% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 8.01% 1-2 @ 7.6% 0-2 @ 5.09% 1-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 2.16% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 25 | 6 | 0 | 77 | 22 | 55 | 81 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 22 | 3 | 6 | 89 | 38 | 51 | 69 |
3 | Stuttgart | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 70 | 38 | 32 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 73 | 35 | 38 | 62 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 59 | 39 | 20 | 57 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 40 |
8 | Augsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 39 |
9 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 63 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 52 | -8 | 37 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 50 | -9 | 37 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 34 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 53 | 60 | -7 | 32 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 30 |
15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
17 | FC Koln | 31 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 23 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 31 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 73 | -43 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |