Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 68.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 13.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.
