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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Oct 4, 2020 at 5pm UK
Allianz Arena
Hertha Berlin logo

Bayern
4 - 3
Hertha Berlin

Lewandowski (40', 51', 85', 90+3' pen.)
Hernandez (58'), Gnabry (85'), Lewandowski (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cordoba (59'), Cunha (71'), Ngankam (88')
Cordoba (13'), Piatek (84'), Mittelstadt (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Hertha Berlin, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 73.89%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 11.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 3-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.57%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHertha Berlin
73.89%15.01%11.1%
Both teams to score 58.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.63%28.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.8%49.2%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.44%6.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.57%24.43%
Hertha Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.71%37.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.93%74.07%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 73.89%
    Hertha Berlin 11.1%
    Draw 15.01%
Bayern MunichDrawHertha Berlin
2-0 @ 9.08%
2-1 @ 8.96%
3-0 @ 8.25%
3-1 @ 8.14%
1-0 @ 6.66%
4-0 @ 5.62%
4-1 @ 5.54%
3-2 @ 4.01%
5-0 @ 3.06%
5-1 @ 3.02%
4-2 @ 2.73%
5-2 @ 1.49%
6-0 @ 1.39%
6-1 @ 1.37%
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 73.89%
1-1 @ 6.57%
2-2 @ 4.42%
0-0 @ 2.45%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 15.01%
1-2 @ 3.24%
0-1 @ 2.41%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-2 @ 1.19%
1-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 11.1%

Head to Head
Jan 19, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Hertha Berlin
0-4
Bayern

Darida (7'), Jarstein (64'), Boyata (81')
Muller (60'), Lewandowski (73' pen.), Alcantara (76'), Perisic (84')
Pavard (19')
Aug 16, 2019 7.30pm
Feb 23, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Bayern
1-0
Hertha Berlin
Martinez (62')
Kimmich (51'), Rodriguez (90')

Rekik (84')
Feb 6, 2019 7.45pm
Round of 16
Hertha Berlin
2-3
Bayern
Mittelstadt (3'), Selke (67')
Gnabry (7', 49'), Coman (98')
Goretzka (2'), Lewandowski (120')
Sep 28, 2018 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Hertha Berlin
2-0
Bayern
Ibisevic (23' pen.), Duda (44')
Ibisevic (40'), Dilrosun (90'), Duda (90')

Kimmich (48')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen31256077225581
2Bayern MunichBayern31223689385169
3Stuttgart31204770383264
4RB Leipzig31195773353862
5Borussia DortmundDortmund31169659392057
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31111284742545
7Freiburg31117134355-1240
8Augsburg31109124852-439
9Hoffenheim31116145563-839
10Heidenheim31910124452-837
11Werder Bremen31107144150-937
12Wolfsburg3197153751-1434
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31711135360-732
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3186172650-2430
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum31612133762-2530
16Mainz 05Mainz31513133249-1728
17FC Koln31411162454-3023
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3138203073-4317


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