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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 13, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Mainz logo

B. Leverkusen
2 - 2
Mainz 05

Alario (14'), Schick (84')
Tah (3'), Wendell (13'), Tapsoba (67'), Schick (68'), Fosu-Mensah (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Glatzel (89'), Stoger (90+2')
Stoger (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 64.79%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawMainz 05
64.79%18.88%16.33%
Both teams to score 58.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.97%35.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.97%57.03%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.81%10.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.53%33.47%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.44%34.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72%71.28%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 64.79%
    Mainz 05 16.33%
    Draw 18.89%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.76%
2-0 @ 9.19%
1-0 @ 8.05%
3-1 @ 7.43%
3-0 @ 6.99%
4-1 @ 4.24%
4-0 @ 3.99%
3-2 @ 3.95%
4-2 @ 2.25%
5-1 @ 1.94%
5-0 @ 1.82%
5-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 64.79%
1-1 @ 8.55%
2-2 @ 5.18%
0-0 @ 3.52%
3-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.89%
1-2 @ 4.54%
0-1 @ 3.74%
0-2 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.84%
1-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 16.33%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Mainz 05

Bayer Leverkusen
91.7%
Draw
5.6%
Mainz 05
2.8%
72
Head to Head
Oct 17, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Mainz
0-1
B. Leverkusen

Latza (75'), Fernandes (85'), Ji (86')
Alario (30')
Bender (57')
Jun 27, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 21, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Mainz
0-1
B. Leverkusen
Alario (93')
Wendell (58')
Wendell (71')
Feb 8, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
Mainz
1-5
B. Leverkusen
Quaison (9')
Kunde (38'), Quaison (61'), Barreiro (89')
Wendell (5'), Havertz (20'), Brandt (30', 64'), Bellarabi (43')
Bellarabi (38')
Sep 23, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
B. Leverkusen
1-0
Mainz
Havertz (62')
Bender (4'), Kohr (68')

Oztunali (72'), Bell (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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