Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
May 11, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Coritiba1 - 1Vasco
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Coritiba and Vasco da Gama.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bahia 3-1 Coritiba
Sunday, May 7 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, May 7 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Vasco
Sunday, May 7 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, May 7 at 1am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 41.81%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Coritiba | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
41.81% ( -0.88) | 26.98% ( 0.09) | 31.21% ( 0.79) |
Both teams to score 49.97% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.9% ( -0.09) | 55.1% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.64% ( -0.07) | 76.36% ( 0.08) |
Coritiba Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74% ( -0.5) | 26.01% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.97% ( -0.67) | 61.03% ( 0.68) |
Vasco da Gama Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.54% ( 0.52) | 32.46% ( -0.52) |