Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 56.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 19.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
