Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Feb 27, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Instituto3 - 1Newell's OB
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and Newell's Old Boys.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newell's OB 2-0 Banfield
Sunday, February 19 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, February 19 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Instituto win with a probability of 36.63%. A win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Instituto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.26%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Newell's Old Boys win was 0-1 (12.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Instituto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Newell's Old Boys |
36.63% ( -0.2) | 30.04% ( -0.04) | 33.33% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 41.95% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
