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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Apr 16, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini

Independiente Rivadavia
0 - 1
Velez Sarsfield


Tonetto (28'), Palacios (36'), Dionisio (50'), Reali (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pizzini (41')
Aquino (36'), Romero (36'), Marchiori (45+3'), Vecino (90+4')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente Rivadavia and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Argentinos Jrs
Friday, April 5 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 37.4%. A win for Independiente Rivadavia had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 30.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.43%) and 1-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Independiente Rivadavia win was 1-0 (12.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.

Result
Independiente RivadaviaDrawVelez Sarsfield
32.26% (0.0020000000000024 0) 30.34% (0.032 0.03) 37.4% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 41.04% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.7% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)66.3% (0.092000000000013 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.21% (-0.057 -0.06)84.79% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Independiente Rivadavia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.31% (-0.047999999999995 -0.05)37.69% (0.053999999999995 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.53% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)74.47% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.87% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)34.13% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.18% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)70.82% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Independiente Rivadavia 32.26%
    Velez Sarsfield 37.4%
    Draw 30.33%
Independiente RivadaviaDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 12.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.58% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.12% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-1 @ 2.14% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.99% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 32.26%
1-1 @ 13.49%
0-0 @ 12.86% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 30.33%
0-1 @ 13.83% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.43% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 37.4%

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