AFC Champions League | Preliminary Round

Aug 16, 2023 at 1pm UK

Hong Kong Stadium

Warriors
5 - 1
Bali

Paulissen (8', 56'), Martins Ferreira (13'), Camargo (45+2'), Angel Alonso Martin (86')
Fung Ngan (33'), Kit Tsui (44')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Kit Tsui (11' og.)
Assis (44'), Spasojevic (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the AFC Champions League Preliminary Round clash between Golden State Warriors and Bali United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Golden State Warriors

Last Game: Warriors 107-131 Clippers
Wednesday, March 11 at 2.30am in NBA

Bali United

Last Game: Victory 5-0 Bali
Tuesday, January 21 at 8.35am in AFC Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Golden State Warriors win with a probability of 52.5%. A win for Bali United had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Golden State Warriors win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Bali United win was 1-2 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Golden State Warriors would win this match.

Result
Golden State Warriors	Draw	Bali United
52.5% ( -0.87)	22.7% ( -0.02)	24.8% ( 0.9)

Both teams to score 59.2% (

1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.14% (

40.86% (

-0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.75% (

1.01)

63.25% (

-1.01)

Golden State Warriors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.37% (

0.06)

15.63% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.36% (

0.1)

44.64% (

-0.1)

Bali United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.17% (

1.27)

29.83% (

-1.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.09% (

1.51)

65.91% (

-1.5)

Score Analysis

Golden State Warriors 52.5%

Bali United 24.8%

Draw 22.69%

Golden State Warriors	Draw	Bali United
2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 3.68% Total : 52.5%	1-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.21) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.69%	1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.12% Total : 24.8%