Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KuPS win with a probability of 75.64%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Rovaniemen Palloseura had a probability of 7.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a KuPS win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.96%) and 3-0 (11.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Rovaniemen Palloseura win it was 0-1 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KuPS would win this match.
