Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.6%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 2-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.
