World Cup | Group Stage
Dec 1, 2022 at 7pm UK
Japan2 - 1Spain
Reaction
Hajime Moriyasu praises Japan players for 'turning the tide' against Spain
Japan boss Hajime Moriyasu hails his side for navigating their way past Spain at the World Cup to secure first position in Group E.
Dec 2, 16:38
Luis Enrique "not happy at all" with Spain performance
Spain boss Luis Enrique criticises his players for their performance in Thursday's 2-1 defeat to Japan at the World Cup.
Dec 2, 15:39
The Match
Match Report
Japan incredibly secure first position in Group E with a 2-1 win over Spain, who squeeze into the last-16 stage of the World Cup as runners-up.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup clash between Japan and Spain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Thursday's 2022 World Cup Group E clash with Japan.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Japan 0-1 Costa Rica
Sunday, November 27 at 10am in World Cup
Sunday, November 27 at 10am in World Cup
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 2 | Japan | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 2 | -6 | 3 |
| 4 | Germany | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Last Game: Spain 1-1 Germany
Sunday, November 27 at 7pm in World Cup
Sunday, November 27 at 7pm in World Cup
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 2 | 7 | 4 |
| 2 | Japan | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Costa Rica | 2 | -6 | 3 |
| 4 | Germany | 2 | -1 | 1 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 43.83%. A win for Japan had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Japan win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Japan | Draw | Spain |
30.83% ( -0.43) | 25.34% ( -0.22) | 43.83% ( 0.65) |
| Both teams to score 54.99% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
