World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 13, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
Argentina1 - 0Paraguay
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Argentina and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Friday's CONMEBOL World Cup qualifier against Paraguay.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bolivia 0-3 Argentina
Tuesday, September 12 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Tuesday, September 12 at 9pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Last Game: Venezuela 1-0 Paraguay
Tuesday, September 12 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Tuesday, September 12 at 11pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
We said: Argentina 3-0 Paraguay
All eyes will be on whether Lionel Messi is passed fit to feature on Friday, but even if the 36-year-old is not involved, Argentina will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top. Paraguay have frustrated Argentina over the years, but we believe that the world champions have enough quality in their side to pick up maximum points against a goal-shy Albirroja outfit. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 85.6%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 3.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.96%) and 1-0 (12.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.84%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (1.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Argentina | Draw | Paraguay |
85.6% ( -0.73) | 10.95% ( 0.52) | 3.45% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 29.65% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.86% ( -1.3) | 41.14% ( 1.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.46% ( -1.33) | 63.54% ( 1.33) |
Argentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.07% ( -0.42) | 6.93% ( 0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.57% ( -1.13) | 25.42% ( 1.13) |
Paraguay Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
31.86% ( 0.21) | 68.14% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
5.72% ( 0.08) | 94.28% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Argentina 85.58%
Paraguay 3.45%
Draw 10.95%
Argentina | Draw | Paraguay |
2-0 @ 16.82% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 14.96% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 12.6% ( 0.45) 4-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.31) 4-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.2) 5-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.07) 7-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.52% Total : 85.58% | 1-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 10.95% | 0-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.72% Total : 3.45% |
How you voted: Argentina vs Paraguay
Argentina
93.0%Draw
5.3%Paraguay
1.8%57
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2021 12am
Jun 22, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-0
Paraguay
Jun 20, 2019 1.30am
Group Stage
Argentina
1-1
Paraguay
Jul 1, 2015 12.30am
Semi-Finals
Argentina
6-1
Paraguay
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-03 01:25:16
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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