MX23RW : Tuesday, June 4 16:23:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Mar 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli

Cerro
2 - 2
Nacional

Rodriguez (19'), Abero (67')
Fernandez (54'), Acosta (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Trezza (11'), Pereiro (70')
Noguera (38'), Morales (69')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 3-2 Cerro
Saturday, February 25 at 12.45pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Nacional 3-1 Racing
Sunday, February 26 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 56.8%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 18.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.86%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
CerroDrawNacional
18.16% (0.627 0.63) 25.04% (0.354 0.35) 56.8% (-0.98 -0.98)
Both teams to score 43% (0.115 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.2% (-0.429 -0.43)57.8% (0.429 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.47% (-0.34 -0.34)78.53% (0.34 0.34)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.98% (0.517 0.52)46.02% (-0.517 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.27% (0.4 0.4)81.73% (-0.39999999999999 -0.4)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.65% (-0.55399999999999 -0.55)20.35% (0.555 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.25% (-0.889 -0.89)52.75% (0.888 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Cerro 18.16%
    Nacional 56.78%
    Draw 25.04%
CerroDrawNacional
1-0 @ 7.27% (0.221 0.22)
2-1 @ 4.49% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 2.82% (0.125 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.16% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 0.93% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 18.16%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.36% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 3.58% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 25.04%
0-1 @ 14.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 11.86% (-0.22 -0.22)
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6.3% (-0.225 -0.23)
1-3 @ 4.89% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-4 @ 2.51% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-4 @ 1.95% (-0.075 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 56.78%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 10.30pm
Cerro
0-1
Nacional

Garcia (43'), Cabrera (71'), Bentaberry (75')
Bergessio (51')
Martinez (20'), Trezza (32'), Mendez (48'), Rochet (75'), Ocampo (76')
Sep 7, 2020 12.15am
Nacional
5-1
Cerro
Rodriguez (25', 77'), Garcia (50'), Vecino (66' pen.), Cartagena (90+2')
Vinicius (16'), Yacob (54')
Cabrera (36' pen.)
Garcia (42'), Hernandez (50'), Cruz (61'), Bentaberry (66')
Oct 19, 2019 11pm
Nacional
2-0
Cerro
Ocampo (5'), Rodriguez (91')
Vina (27')

Nunez (45'), Brasil (79'), Alonso (81')
Mar 30, 2019 7pm
Cerro
0-2
Nacional

Tancredi (53'), Diaz (77'), Porras (77')
Bergessio (16'), Rivero (86')
Fernandez (90')
Aug 11, 2018 7pm
Cerro
1-2
Nacional
Lopez (3')
Nunez (16'), Izquierdo (92'), Irrazabal (95')
Irrazabal (95')
Bergessio (75'), Viudez (77')
Castro (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional1494128151331
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River148332014627
5ProgresoProgreso147342524124
6Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
7Cerro Largo145361516-118
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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