Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fulham | Draw | Newcastle United |
46.9% ( -0.39) | 23.15% ( 0.09) | 29.95% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 62.09% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.98% ( -0.24) | 39.02% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.66% ( -0.25) | 61.34% ( 0.25) |
Fulham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.03% ( -0.24) | 16.97% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.93% ( -0.43) | 47.07% ( 0.43) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.78% ( 0.08) | 25.22% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.03% ( 0.11) | 59.96% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Fulham | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.19% Total : 46.9% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |