Sporting should be accustomed to these one-off games by now, having played in so many must-win situations down the stretch of this season.
They have been potent in the attacking third at home, and are in much better form when compared to the Quakes, both of which have us leaning towards the home side advancing.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 20.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 0-1 (5.94%).
