Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Toronto | 31 | -8 | 34 |
8 | Sporting Kansas City | 31 | -11 | 34 |
9 | Houston Dynamo | 31 | -10 | 33 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Portland Timbers | 31 | 3 | 45 |
3 | Minnesota United | 31 | 0 | 45 |
4 | Real Salt Lake | 31 | -3 | 43 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 55.98%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
Result | ||
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Minnesota United |
55.98% ( -0.43) | 22.92% ( 0.09) | 21.1% ( 0.33) |
Both teams to score 53.65% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.01% ( 0.01) | 45.99% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.71% ( 0.01) | 68.29% ( -0.01) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.75% ( -0.14) | 16.25% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.23% ( -0.26) | 45.77% ( 0.26) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.06% ( 0.34) | 35.94% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.28% ( 0.34) | 72.72% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Minnesota United |
1-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 55.98% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.91% | 0-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 21.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |