Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Seattle Sounders win with a probability of 56.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Seattle Sounders win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Seattle Sounders would win this match.
Result | ||
Seattle Sounders | Draw | Dallas |
56.83% ( -0) | 23.7% ( -0.04) | 19.46% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 48.75% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.74% ( 0.24) | 51.25% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.91% ( 0.21) | 73.09% ( -0.21) |
Seattle Sounders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.16% ( 0.09) | 17.84% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.41% ( 0.15) | 48.59% ( -0.15) |
Dallas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.33% ( 0.19) | 40.67% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.74% ( 0.17) | 77.26% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Seattle Sounders | Draw | Dallas |
1-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 56.82% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.7% | 0-1 @ 6.53% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 19.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |