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Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2024 at 7pm UK
Yankee Stadium
Portland Timbers

NY City
1 - 2
Portland

Rodriguez (10')
Rodriguez (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Antony (85'), Evander (90+7')
McGraw (19'), Paredes (31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Louis City 2-0 NY City
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 2-2 DC United
Sunday, March 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: New York City FC 0-1 Portland Timbers

Confidence is quite low with New York City FC at the moment, and seeing one of your most experienced players in Sands lose their cool seems to reflect how everyone at the club is probably feeling at the moment: frustrated. The Timbers, on the other hand, have shown to be a potent side in the attacking third so far in 2024, and we believe that, combined with the lack of chance creation on the NYCFC side of things, will enable Portland to maintain their 100% away record against the Pigeons. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.

Result
New York City FCDrawPortland Timbers
45.22% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04) 25.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 29.26% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.56% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.98% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)50.02% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28% (-0.032 -0.03)72% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.91% (-0.033999999999992 -0.03)22.09% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.55% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)55.45% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.75% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)31.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)67.59% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    New York City FC 45.22%
    Portland Timbers 29.26%
    Draw 25.51%
New York City FCDrawPortland Timbers
1-0 @ 10.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.15% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.96% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 45.22%
1-1 @ 12.12%
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.51%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 29.26%

How you voted: NY City vs Portland

New York City FC
18.2%
Draw
18.2%
Portland Timbers
63.6%
11
Head to Head
Jun 25, 2023 3.30am
Portland
1-1
NY City
Evander (38')
Mabiala (50'), Bravo (70'), Evander (90+3')
Parks (51')
Turnbull (90')
Dec 11, 2021 8pm
Portland
1-1
NY City
NY City win 4-2 on penalties
Mora (90+4')
van Rankin (59'), Chara (90')
Castellanos (41')
Rodriguez (80'), Johnson (88'), Medina (90+1')
Aug 2, 2020 3.30am
NY City
1-3
Portland
Medina (27' pen.)
Ring (44'), Medina (45+1'), Moralez (85'), Callens (90+5')
Blanco (43'), Valeri (65'), Joya (76')
Williamson (37'), Mabiala (79')
Jul 7, 2019 11.30pm
NY City
0-1
Portland

Chanot (81'), Ofori (88')
Blanco (14')
Dielna (40'), Blanco (44'), Farfan (44'), Asprilla (45'), Valentin (45')
Apr 22, 2018 11pm
Gameweek 9
Portland
3-0
NY City
Blanco (26'), Adi (38'), Mabiala (66')

Ring (63'), Callens (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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