Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 18.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | Inter Miami |
59.1% ( -3.17) | 22.72% ( 1.31) | 18.17% ( 1.87) |
Both teams to score 49.49% ( -0.37) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.88% ( -2.41) | 49.12% ( 2.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.81% ( -2.22) | 71.19% ( 2.22) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.72% ( -1.85) | 16.27% ( 1.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.18% ( -3.47) | 45.82% ( 3.47) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.11% ( 0.84) | 40.89% ( -0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.54% ( 0.75) | 77.46% ( -0.75) |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | Inter Miami |
1-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.43) 2-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.64% ( -0.65) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.43) 4-0 @ 3.01% ( -0.51) 4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.39) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0.27) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.03% Total : 59.09% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.62) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.63) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.72% | 0-1 @ 5.95% ( 0.69) 1-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.38) 0-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.36) 1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.98% Total : 18.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |