Major League Soccer
Oct 21, 2023 at 11pm UK
First Tennessee Park
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 50.73%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
Result |
Nashville SC | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
50.73% ( -0.04) | 25.65% ( 0) | 23.62% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 48.52% ( 0.03) |