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Major League Soccer
May 12, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Stade Saputo
Inter Miami

Montreal
2 - 3
Inter Miami

Duke (22'), Vilsaint (32')
Piette (43')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Rojas (44'), Suarez (45+3'), Cremaschi (59')
Krivtsov (55'), Busquets (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 4-1 Montreal
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-4 Inter Miami

Le CFM have conceded four or more goals in three domestic away fixtures this season, and that was against three low-scoring teams in the Seattle Sounders, Chicago Fire and Nashville, so we imagine that a quality side like Miami would do a lot of damage against them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 40.46%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (5.29%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawInter Miami
40.46% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1) 22.98% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01) 36.56% (0.109 0.11)
Both teams to score 65.33% (0.066999999999993 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.18% (0.084000000000003 0.08)35.82% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.1% (0.092999999999996 0.09)57.89% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)18.28% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.66% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)49.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (0.087999999999994 0.09)20.05% (-0.090999999999998 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.72% (0.144 0.14)52.27% (-0.146 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 40.46%
    Inter Miami 36.56%
    Draw 22.97%
CF MontrealDrawInter Miami
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.23% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.29% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.87% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 3% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.27% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 40.46%
1-1 @ 10% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.83% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.67% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 2.07% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 8.04% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 3.66% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.53% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.012 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.47% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 36.56%

How you voted: Montreal vs Inter Miami

CF Montreal
8.2%
Draw
8.2%
Inter Miami
83.7%
49
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2024 9pm
Inter Miami
2-3
Montreal
Campana (71'), Alba (80')
Redondo (19'), Aviles (49'), Krivtsov (57'), Campana (86'), Allen (90+3')
Alvarez (13'), Coccaro (75'), Sunusi (78')
Vilsaint (63'), Edwards (90+3')
May 28, 2023 12.30am
Feb 26, 2023 12.30am
Oct 9, 2022 7.30pm
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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