Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Chicago Fire | 24 | -3 | 30 |
9 | Inter Miami | 24 | -6 | 30 |
10 | Orlando City | 24 | -9 | 30 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 24 | 23 | 45 |
2 | New York City FC | 23 | 20 | 42 |
3 | CF Montreal | 24 | 1 | 40 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 47.95%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Inter Miami | Draw | New York City FC |
28.54% ( -0.25) | 23.51% ( -0.1) | 47.95% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 59.82% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.41% ( 0.28) | 41.59% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.01% ( 0.29) | 63.99% ( -0.29) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.56% ( -0.03) | 27.44% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.07% ( -0.04) | 62.93% ( 0.04) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.44% ( 0.25) | 17.56% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.9% ( 0.42) | 48.1% ( -0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Miami | Draw | New York City FC |
2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 28.55% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.1% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.23% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.86% Total : 47.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |