Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colorado Rapids win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colorado Rapids win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.
Result | ||
Colorado Rapids | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
53.52% ( 1.19) | 23.55% ( -0.27) | 22.93% ( -0.91) |
Both teams to score 54.11% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.41% ( 0.24) | 46.59% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.14% ( 0.22) | 68.86% ( -0.22) |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.66% ( 0.53) | 17.34% ( -0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.28% ( 0.92) | 47.73% ( -0.91) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.46% ( -0.68) | 34.55% ( 0.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.74% ( -0.73) | 71.26% ( 0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Colorado Rapids | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.76% Total : 53.51% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.54% | 0-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.11% Total : 22.93% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |