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Chicago Fire
Major League Soccer
Oct 5, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Soldier Field
Inter Miami

Chicago Fire
4 - 1
Inter Miami

Shaqiri (49', 73'), Haile-Selassie (62', 65')
Dean (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Martinez (53' pen.)
Busquets (42'), Martino (43'), Farias (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Chicago Fire and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NY Red Bulls 0-1 Chicago Fire
Sunday, October 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-1 NY City
Sunday, October 1 at 1.32am in Major League Soccer

We said: Chicago Fire 1-2 Inter Miami

With time running out for them to rescue a playoff spot, Inter Miami will be desperate to get Messi back onto the pitch as soon as possible, but it may be from the bench at best in this match. Despite winning their last match, Chicago were fortunate to benefit from a red card for their opponents, and we can envisage Inter Miami returning to winning ways themselves in midweek.

How to watch

You can watch Chicago Fire vs. Inter Miami and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 51.33%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 0-1 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.

Result
Chicago FireDrawInter Miami
51.33% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 23.82% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.85% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.15% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)45.85% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.84% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)68.16% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.12% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)17.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.33% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)48.66% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.53% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)32.47% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.01% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)68.99% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Chicago Fire 51.33%
    Inter Miami 24.86%
    Draw 23.81%
Chicago FireDrawInter Miami
1-0 @ 9.99% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.6% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 51.33%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.81%
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 24.86%

How you voted: Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami

Chicago Fire
23.9%
Draw
8.7%
Inter Miami
67.4%
46
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2023 11.30pm
Feb 26, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 1
Inter Miami
0-0
Chicago Fire
Yedlin (53'), Lowe (74'), Quinteros (77')
Duran (87')
Aug 19, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 27
Inter Miami
3-2
Chicago Fire
Vassilev (34'), Robinson (62'), Pizarro (90+3')
Gonzalez Pirez (50'), Robinson (74'), Carranza (84')
Calvo (40'), Stojanovic (48')
Herbers (60')
May 22, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 8
Chicago Fire
1-0
Inter Miami
Stojanovic (70')
Medran (9'), Offor (90'), Sekulic (90+1')

Gonzalez Pirez (23'), Ulloa (31'), Robinson (61'), Shawcross (68'), Matuidi (68'), Figal (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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