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Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2022 at 10.30pm UK
Bank of America Stadium
Philadelphia Union

Charlotte FC
4 - 0
Philadelphia

Rios (24', 54', 72' pen., 90+1')
Bronico (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wagner (39'), Gazdag (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Charlotte FC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-3 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 18 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 0-0 Philadelphia
Saturday, September 17 at 8.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Charlotte FC 1-2 Philadelphia Union

Charlotte will be a desperate team heading into this encounter as one more defeat would eliminate them from playoff contention, but the Union have plenty to play for as well, including the fact that a victory would guarantee they finish on top of the Eastern Conference standings. Look for the home side to put a lot of effort into shutting down this dangerous Union attack, but the problem for Charlotte is that there are too many lethal finishers for them to track, while Philly can defend with the very best in MLS. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.37%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Charlotte FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
30.83% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 25.23% (0.0019999999999989 0) 43.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.34% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.9% (0.0020000000000024 0)48.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.74% (0.0019999999999989 0)70.26%
Charlotte FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.83% (0.010000000000005 0.01)29.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (0.012 0.01)65.1% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.12% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)21.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.88% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)55.12% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Charlotte FC 30.83%
    Philadelphia Union 43.93%
    Draw 25.23%
Charlotte FCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 7.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 7.36% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.99% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.83%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.38%
2-2 @ 5.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 9.7% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 9.08% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 7.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.6% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.83%
1-4 @ 1.75% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 43.93%

How you voted: Charlotte FC vs Philadelphia

Charlotte FC
12.0%
Draw
12.0%
Philadelphia Union
76.0%
25
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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