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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Apr 23, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chicago Fire

Atlanta
2 - 1
Chicago Fire

Giakoumakis (13'), Haile-Selassie (90+9' og.)
Giakoumakis (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Przybylko (90')
Herbers (34'), Teran (77'), Gimenez (80'), Dean (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 3-0 Chicago Fire

While each have left points on the table, the Five Stripes seem to be finding more consistency and still looked fairly sharp last week without Almada. Chicago have not been quite as solid from one game to another, and Chris Brady has made numerous blunders in goal which are absolute momentum killers and something which we think Atlanta could capitalise on.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. Chicago Fire and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawChicago Fire
58.35% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 21.5% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 20.14% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.91% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.05% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)40.94% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.66% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)63.34% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.24% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)13.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.94% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)41.05% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99% (0.0019999999999953 0)34.01% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.31% (0.00099999999999767 0)70.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 58.35%
    Chicago Fire 20.14%
    Draw 21.5%
Atlanta UnitedDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.28% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 9.2%
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 58.35%
1-1 @ 10.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.35%
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.5%
1-2 @ 5.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 20.14%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Chicago Fire

Atlanta United
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Chicago Fire
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 10pm
Chicago Fire
0-0
Atlanta

Duran (41'), Shaqiri (63')

Sosa (81'), Dwyer (90+5')
May 7, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
4-1
Chicago Fire
Cisneros (3', 27', 36'), Lennon (90+1')
Araujo (45+4')
Offor (11')
Navarro (30'), Offor (36'), Mueller (72')
Jul 4, 2021 1am
gameweek 13
Chicago Fire
3-0
Atlanta
Aliseda (34', 45+6'), Frankowski (58')
Bornstein (26'), Frankowski (31')

Bello (27'), Wolff (52'), Walkes (69')
Apr 25, 2021 1am
gameweek 2
Atlanta
3-1
Chicago Fire
Barco (23'), Kappelhof (66' og.), Hyndman (85')
Mulraney (27'), Barco (70'), Hyndman (81')
Stojanovic (46')
Gimenez (90')
Sep 28, 2020 12.30am
gameweek 13
Chicago Fire
2-0
Atlanta
Herbers (7'), Beric (39')

Mo (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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