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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Mar 31, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Real Sociedad logo

Alaves
0 - 1
Real Sociedad


Guevara (62'), Abqar (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pacheco (59')
Merino (80'), Pacheco (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Alaves
Saturday, March 16 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Alaves 1-2 Real Sociedad

Alaves have impressed this season, and they are more than capable of picking up a positive result on Sunday evening against a Real Sociedad outfit that have had their problems of late. The visitors have won their last two, though, and we are expecting a third straight success for Alguacil's side this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.68%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.31%) and 1-2 (7.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.36%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.

Result
AlavesDrawReal Sociedad
29.2% (0.062999999999999 0.06) 30.12% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 40.68% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 40.72% (0.073 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.75% (0.076999999999998 0.08)66.25% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.24% (0.051 0.05)84.76% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.95% (0.092000000000006 0.09)40.05% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.3% (0.085999999999999 0.09)76.7% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (0.016000000000005 0.02)32.07% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (0.018000000000001 0.02)68.54% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 29.2%
    Real Sociedad 40.68%
    Draw 30.11%
AlavesDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 11.75%
2-1 @ 6.12% (0.017 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.38% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.87% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.06% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 29.2%
1-1 @ 13.36%
0-0 @ 12.84% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.48% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 30.11%
0-1 @ 14.6% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 40.68%

How you voted: Alaves vs Real Sociedad

Alaves
19.8%
Draw
18.5%
Real Sociedad
61.7%
81
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2024 6.15pm
Gameweek 19
Real Sociedad
1-1
Alaves
Zubimendi (90+6')
Zubeldia (45+2'), Fernandez (71'), Traore (74'), Sadiq (90+11'), Oyarzabal (90+7')
Remiro (36')
Rioja (76' pen.)
Rebbach (50'), Omorodion (59'), Sivera (87'), Kike (90+3')
Mar 13, 2022 5.30pm
Jan 2, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 19
Alaves
1-1
Real Sociedad
Joselu (58' pen.)
Laguardia (54'), Mendez (60'), Rioja (90')
Januzaj (14')
Zubeldia (56'), Silva (67'), Januzaj (85')
Feb 21, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 24
Real Sociedad
4-0
Alaves
Isak (41', 49', 62'), Portu (73')
Merino (51'), Illarramendi (54'), Bautista (85')

Garcia (52'), Pina (61')
Dec 6, 2020 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid37297187266194
2Barcelona37257577433482
3GironaGirona37246778463278
4Atletico MadridAtletico372341068432573
5Athletic Bilbao371811860372365
6Real Sociedad371612951371460
7Real BetisBetis37141494845356
8Villarreal371410136464052
9Valencia37139153843-548
10AlavesAlaves37129163545-1045
11Osasuna37128174455-1144
12Getafe371013144152-1143
13Sevilla371011164752-541
14Celta Vigo371010174455-1140
15Las PalmasLas Palmas37109183246-1439
16Rayo Vallecano37814152947-1838
17Mallorca37716143143-1237
18CadizCadiz37615162549-2433
RGranada3749243872-3421
RAlmeria37212233774-3718


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