Europa Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Aston Villa2 - 1Lille
The Match
Match Report
Aston Villa record a 2-1 win over Lille in the first leg of their Europa Conference League quarter-final tie on Thursday night.
Team News
Unai Emery selects his Aston Villa XI for the first leg of the Europa Conference League quarter-final against Lille.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Aston Villa and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-3 Brentford
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Lille 3-1 Marseille
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Lille had a probability of 36.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Lille win was 1-2 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa in this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Lille |
38.8% ( 0.04) | 24.66% ( 0.01) | 36.55% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 58.98% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.93% ( -0.04) | 44.07% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.55% ( -0.04) | 66.45% ( 0.04) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.39% ( -0) | 22.61% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.77% | 56.23% ( -0) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.21% ( -0.05) | 23.79% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.06% ( -0.06) | 57.94% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa 38.8%
Lille 36.55%
Draw 24.65%
Aston Villa | Draw | Lille |
2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.13% 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.8% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.65% | 1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.55% |
How you voted: Aston Villa vs Lille
Aston Villa
68.5%Draw
22.6%Lille
8.9%124
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-20 19:01:22
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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