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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Almere City win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | NEC |
30.09% ( 1.47) | 24.36% ( 0.58) | 45.55% ( -2.05) |
Both teams to score 57.89% ( -1.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.42% ( -1.8) | 44.58% ( 1.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.05% ( -1.76) | 66.95% ( 1.77) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.1% ( 0.1) | 27.91% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.48% ( 0.12) | 63.53% ( -0.12) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.3% ( -1.55) | 19.71% ( 1.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.29% ( -2.59) | 51.71% ( 2.59) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.55) 2-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.36) 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.09% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.42) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.36% | 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 5.01% ( -0.35) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 2.04% ( -0.25) 0-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.16) Other @ 3.04% Total : 45.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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