Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 10, 2024 at 3am UK
Estadio Olimpico Atahualpa
U. Catolica4 - 0Union La Calera
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Universidad Catolica and Union La Calera.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Alianza Petrolera 1-3 U. Catolica
Wednesday, April 24 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Wednesday, April 24 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Union La Calera 0-0 Cruzeiro
Tuesday, April 23 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, April 23 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universidad Catolica win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 15.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universidad Catolica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.84%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Universidad Catolica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Universidad Catolica | Draw | Union La Calera |
63.45% ( 1.45) | 21.26% ( -0.66) | 15.29% ( -0.8) |
| Both teams to score 48.06% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
