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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | FC Koln |
61.03% ( -0.19) | 20.72% ( 0.07) | 18.25% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 56.19% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.72% ( -0.12) | 40.28% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.35% ( -0.13) | 62.65% ( 0.12) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.24% ( -0.09) | 12.75% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.98% ( -0.19) | 39.02% ( 0.19) |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.41% ( 0.06) | 35.59% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.64% ( 0.06) | 72.36% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.58% Total : 61.03% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.21% Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.72% | 1-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 18.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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