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[monks data]
Coventry City
Championship | Gameweek 23
Jan 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Ricoh Arena
Stoke logo

Coventry
1 - 0
Stoke

Gyokeres (68')
Sheaf (30'), Clarke-Salter (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Jagielka (88')

Preview: Coventry City vs. Stoke City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Coventry City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Coventry City and Stoke square off on Tuesday evening with both clubs needing a victory to get back into the Championship playoff race.

Although they both possess games in hand on the teams above them, the Sky Blues and Potters are seven and six points adrift of sixth position respectively.


Match preview

Stoke City's Lewis Baker celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on January 22, 2022© Reuters

Having only been edged out 3-2 by runaway leaders Fulham, Stoke boss Michael O'Neill cannot be too disheartened with losing a five-goal thriller at the bet365 Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

Nevertheless, it also felt like a case of what could have been, particularly having got back into the contest through Lewis Baker's equaliser in the second half.

O'Neill will be satisfied that the Potters are on an upward trajectory, however, with three strong performances with several new signings being produced since their poor efforts at the turn of the year.

Sitting six points adrift of Huddersfield Town with two matches in hand, Stoke's fate is just about in their own hands right now, but they travel to the Terriers at the weekend.

That scenario heaps the pressure on O'Neill's team ahead of this contest, and the Northern Irishman will be hoping that D'Margio Wright-Phillips can build on scoring his first professional goal versus the Cottagers.

Coventry City manager Mark Robins on September 11, 2021© Reuters

Coventry also enter this contest feeling a sense of frustration, Mark Robins's team having had the better of the game against Queens Park Rangers before succumbing to a late 2-1 defeat.

Not only did they lose to a fellow playoff rival, their disappointing run was extended to just one win in eight games, that solitary success coming at struggling Peterborough United.

Given that they have been in the top half of the table all season, the fact that no relegation battle is on the horizon is no longer deemed satisfactory, and Robins will be expected to engineer improvements over the coming weeks and months.

Coventry also no longer possess one of the best home records in the division, a consequence of losing their last three fixtures at the Ricoh Arena.

Coventry City Championship form:
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L

Coventry City form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L

Stoke City Championship form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L

Stoke City form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

Stoke City manager Michael O'Neill after the match on January 9, 2022© Reuters

Having made his debut as a second-half substitute against QPR, Jake Bidwell could start for Coventry at left wing-back, allowing Jordan Shipley to be used further forward.

Martyn Waghorn is pushing for a recall ahead of Viktor Gyokeres in attack, but the remainder of the team could stay the same.

Despite the level of performance produced against Fulham, Stoke boss O'Neill will be tempted to introduce some fresh legs.

Either Sam Clucas or Lewis Baker, who has not played regular senior football this season, could be replaced by Mario Vrancic in the middle of the pitch.

Tyrese Campbell is an alternative up-front, while Morgan Fox may be used on the left-hand side of a back three ahead of James Chester.

Coventry City possible starting lineup:
Moore; Hyam, McFadzean, Clarke-Salter; Kane, Hamer, Sheaf, Bidwell; O'Hare, Shipley; Waghorn

Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Bonham; Harwood-Bellis, Jagielka, Chester; Smith, Baker, Allen, Vrancic, Tymon; Campbell, Wright-Phillips


SM words green background

We say: Coventry City 1-1 Stoke City

With both clubs being inconsistency personified, this is a difficult match to call. Even though Stoke would have taken more positives from their performance at the weekend, we still expect this contest to end in a share of the spoils.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 36.28%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (11.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coventry City in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Coventry vs Stoke

Coventry City
33.6%
Draw
31.9%
Stoke City
34.5%
116
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Bristol City manager Nigel Pearson after the match on January 15, 2022
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